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Thunder vs Pacers NBA Finals Game 3 Picks and Predictions

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers NBA Finals Game 3 preview, picks and predictions for Wednesday, June 11, 2025 at 8:30pm

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Oklahoma City has been setting the tone early in this series, and that’s where I’m looking to strike in Game 3.

While the series is tied 1-1 heading into Wednesday night in Indiana, the Thunder have flat-out dominated the opening frame. OKC has led after the first quarter in both games, averaging a 7.5-point first quarter margin so far. They came out with purpose in Game 2 and built a double-digit lead before halftime that Indiana never recovered from.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been nearly unstoppable with 72 points through two games, and Daigneault’s mix-and-match rotations have overwhelmed the Pacers early. The Thunder are applying full-court pressure on Haliburton, forcing Indiana into early mistakes and killing any rhythm in the first 12 minutes. Add in Indiana’s struggles getting to the rim and coughing up the ball, and it’s no surprise Oklahoma City keeps jumping out front.

Yes, Indiana is 4-0 off a loss in these playoffs, but that momentum usually builds after the first quarter. In a hostile environment with a young roster and an ailing Haliburton, the Pacers could come out tight. OKC’s depth, defensive energy, and ability to win the possession battle early make the Thunder First Quarter a strong look in Game 3.

Let’s hit the board early and stay in control.

Pick: Thunder First Quarter ML -135

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