Marlins vs Diamondbacks MLB Picks and Predictions for Saturday June 28

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Arizona is set up to bounce back and even this series on Saturday night in Phoenix. The Diamondbacks came within one swing of stealing the opener, rallying for three runs in the ninth before a game ending double play stalled their comeback. You can bet they’ll carry that momentum into tonight with Brandon Pfaadt on the mound.

Yes, Sandy Alcantara is trying to claw back to form after Tommy John surgery, and he’s looked better in June with a 2.74 ERA across four starts. But let’s not ignore the big picture: he was a disaster early on, sitting at 2-7 with an 8.47 ERA before this recent stretch. Even with the improvement, he’s still sporting a bloated 6.69 ERA for the year, and he hasn’t picked up a win in five career starts against Arizona. The last time he faced this lineup, he got tagged in a 5-0 shutout loss.

Meanwhile, Pfaadt has proven he can handle this Marlins offense. He’s already beaten them once this season, holding them to just one run over 5 2/3 innings. His ERA has ballooned over the last month, but pitching in Colorado didn’t do him any favors. Back at home, he’s in a good spot to settle in and attack a Miami lineup that has been hot but also benefited from shaky Arizona defense Friday, including two costly errors.

Another factor to watch: Josh Naylor is likely out for Arizona due to neck and shoulder issues, but this lineup still showed plenty of life late, and the Dbacks should have enough firepower to back Pfaadt. Alcantara’s turnaround is a nice story, but this is a spot where Arizona can jump on him early before he settles in.

I’m rolling with the Diamondbacks moneyline at -150 to hit big on a bounce back performance.