Pacers vs Thunder NBA Finals Game 5 Picks and Predictions

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This is exactly why Oklahoma City brought in Alex Caruso. Veteran grit, elite instincts, and clutch moments. He’s not just a role player anymore — he’s become a closer.

In this Finals series tied 2-2, Caruso has quietly become a difference-maker. He’s averaging nearly 15 points and 2.5 steals per game, and while he isn’t starting, he’s finishing. Game 4? Twenty points on 7-of-9 shooting. His feel for the game has given OKC a serious edge late in tight spots, and it’s unlocked another gear for this Thunder offense.

Add that to the fact the Thunder have been a top-two home offense all season, averaging over 122 points per game, and now they return to a rocking arena with momentum after a massive 12–1 closing run in Game 4.

Shai, J-Dub, Giddey, and now Caruso — this team is deep, and they’re locked in. We’ve already seen them bounce back in big moments, including the Denver series where they took two straight with the season on the line. They’re treating every possession like it’s life or death.

Indiana’s defense hasn’t had answers late. And after letting Game 4 slip away, they now enter a hostile environment with a shaky track record when chasing games.

OKC has hit 116+ in six of their last seven home playoff games. Caruso’s emergence, combined with SGA’s consistent star play, makes this team total over a strong position heading into Game 5.

Pick: Thunder Team Total Over 115.5 Points -133