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Cavs vs Pacers NBA Playoffs Game 3 Picks and Predictions

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers NBA Playoffs Game 3 preview, picks and predictions for Friday, May 9, 2025 at 7:30pm.

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Game 3 Breakdown: Cavs vs. Pacers (Series: IND 2-0)

After stealing both games in Cleveland, the Pacers head back to Indy with momentum, confidence, and a shot to take full control of this series. But don’t let that 2-0 lead fool you this matchup is far from a wrap.

Game 2? Absolutely wild. Indiana was down 7 points with 48 seconds left and somehow pulled off one of the most improbable comebacks in recent playoff history. Two offensive boards on missed free throws, multiple Cavs turnovers, and a cold-blooded game-winner from Haliburton sealed it. Final score: 120-119, Pacers.

But here’s the angle savvy bettors are watching: turnovers and second-chance points. The Pacers gave it away 35 times combined in Games 1 and 2, and Cleveland cashed in 21 second-chance points in each game. Those are red flags if you’re backing Indiana again in Game 3.

The Cavs’ health is the big question. Garland (toe), Mobley (ankle), and De’Andre Hunter (thumb) are all questionable. If those guys sit again, it’s another all-in spot for Donovan Mitchell, who just dropped 48 points and nearly willed them to a win in Game 2. He went 15-of-30 from the field and lived at the line (17-of-21 FT).

Key Matchups to Watch for Bettors:

Mitchell vs. foul line: If Indiana can keep him off it, they can survive. If not, Cavs might steal one back.

Pacers on the glass: Can they limit second-chance buckets from Allen and Strus?

Live Betting Angle: Indiana has been the comeback kings. Don’t count them out even down double digits.

Projected Starters:

Pacers: Haliburton, Nembhard, Nesmith, Siakam, Turner

Cavs: Ty Jerome, Mitchell, Strus, Wade, Allen

Injury Watch (Key for Line Movement):

Pacers: Jackson (out)

Cavs: Garland, Mobley, Hunter all questionable

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