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Padres vs Diamondbacks MLB Picks and Predictions for Sunday June 15

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions for this Sunday baseball game on June 15, 2025 at 4:10pm est.

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Diamondbacks Going for the Sweep Behind Red-Hot Merrill Kelly

The D-Backs are dialed in right now, and they’ve got their ace on the bump Sunday as they go for the sweep at home over division rival San Diego. Merrill Kelly (6-2, 3.18 ERA) is on a serious heater, tossing 15 1/3 consecutive scoreless innings and holding opponents to just a .193 average during that span. He’s been the most consistent arm in Arizona’s rotation this year and owns a strong 9-4 record with a 3.36 ERA lifetime against the Padres.

Arizona’s offense is also surging, fresh off a wild 9th-inning comeback Saturday that ended in an 8-7 walk-off win. That marked their fifth straight victory and second walk-off on this homestand. They now lead the league in 9th-inning runs (39), and the bats have come alive late in games.

On the other side, San Diego turns to Nick Pivetta (6-2, 3.48 ERA), who started strong this season but has cooled off. He’s allowed five earned in back-to-back starts and hasn’t picked up a win in his last four. Pivetta’s career ERA against Arizona sits at 4.63 and this red-hot Diamondbacks lineup won’t make things easier.

With Arizona now above .500 for the first time since late May and just 2.5 games back of the Padres in the NL West standings, this series finale carries serious momentum implications.

Key angles:

  • Kelly has a 2.34 ERA in 12 starts since his rough outing vs. the Yankees back in April.

  • The Padres have dropped 3 straight and 4 of 5, trending in the wrong direction.

  • Arizona is thriving in late-game spots, leading MLB in 9th-inning production.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks 1st 5 Innings ML -120

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