Braves vs Mets MLB Picks and Predictions for Monday June 23

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The Mets are in a brutal slump, no doubt about it. They’ve dropped eight of nine and the offense has looked flat, averaging just over three runs per game in that stretch. But this feels like a solid bounce-back spot.

They just saw Schwellenbach last week and still managed to scratch across four runs on six hits over seven innings against him. Now they get a second look at him, and familiarity tends to favor the hitters in that kind of setup.

New York needs to wake the bats up at home, and sending Alvarez down shows they’re serious about making changes. With the Braves’ pitching staff shaken up after losing Chris Sale, this is the kind of game where the Mets can show some urgency and plate four or more.

I’m locking in the Mets Team Total Over 3.5 Runs at -140. They’ve done it before against this exact pitcher, and I’ll back them to do it again.